After the World Cup group stage, things go from intense to do-or-die.
In previous years, the Round of 16 was the first knockout stage match, but with an expanded field of 48 teams— it is now the second.
Let’s check out the odds for which countries are favored to win at least one knockout stage game and make it to the Round of 16, at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 21.
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To Reach Round of 16
France: -650 (bet $10 to win $11.54 total)
England: -475 (bet $10 to win $12.11 total)
Germany: -425 (bet $10 to win $12.35 total)
Spain: -300 (bet $10 to win $13.33 total)
USA: -270 (bet $10 to win $13.70 total)
Argentina: -260 (bet $10 to win $13.85 total)
Portugal: -250 (bet $10 to win $14 total)
Belgium: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
Mexico: -210 (bet $10 to win $14.76 total)
Switzerland: -200 (bet $10 to win $15 total)
Brazil: -195 (bet $10 to win $15.13 total)
Norway: -185 (bet $10 to win $15.41 total)
Netherlands: -165 (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
Colombia: -145 (bet $10 to win $16.90 total)
Canada: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
Morocco: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
France currently has the best odds in the entire field to make the Round of 16 (Getty Images).
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard.
The Favorites: France and Spain are favored to win the tournament, making them heavy favorites to at least reach the second round of the knockout stage. In 2014, France made it to the quarterfinals, followed by a championship in 2018 and a runner-up finish in 2022. The last time it failed to make it out of the group stage was back in 2010. For Spain, it lost in the Round of 16 in both 2022 and 2018, and failed to make it out of the group stage in 2014, after winning the World Cup in 2010. However, in the round of 16 betting markets, England has surpassed Spain after its dominant 4-2 win over Croatia in its opener.
The Host Nations: Each of the three host nations — the USA, Mexico and Canada — are in great shape to top their respective groups and win their Round of 32 matchup. Mexico has officially won Group A after its win over South Korea on Thursday. The U.S. has clinched Group D after its win over Australia and Türkiye’s loss to Paraguay. And lastly, after its first ever World Cup win, Canada is very likely to advance and even win its group if it wins or draws against Switzerland next week.
Mexico has a familiar relationship with the round of 16, having lost in that round every tournament from 1994 to 2018 — seven straight tournaments. In 2022, Mexico didn’t make it out of group play. As for the USA, it made the Round of 16 in 2022, did not qualify for the tournament in 2018, and made the Round of 16 in 2014 and 2010. If Canada advances, it will be playing in its first knockout game ever.
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