I have looked at all of the dozens of self-driving car companies. I looked at many of the 80 LIDAR (laser radar) companies. I cut through all of the noise, complexity and confusion.
Robotaxis will change the world and are a multi-trillion opportunity. Companies have spent over a hundred billion dollars already and even more money will spent in the next few years.
This new analysis shows how to predict who will win the all-important battle to dominate the future of robotaxi and by how many years they will lead. It determines what the real important metrics are to track who is winning now and by how much.
Robotaxi technology is complex and there over many companies competing. The technology is complex and involves artificial intelligence and new sensors. This new analysis lets you cut through the noise with clear insight.
Getting the first self-driving cars working to the level of a robotaxi (no human driver needed) is just the beginning. The business models that are being pursued now are critical for the speed of deployment.
How many robotaxis will it take to compete at the level of Uber? Taxis?
What it will take to go beyond to change all of car and truck transportation?
Who is really ahead? How can you tell?
The winners could have a 10X or 100X in their share price. The size of the prize depends upon if there is one single winner with a big lead or if there are multiple winners who reduce the size of the profits.
What will a 30-month lead mean? A 60-month lead?
Can we track it now? What are the right metrics to use?
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.